Part
I : Case-Study, Winnipeg International Airport and Surrounding
Residential Development
Federal governments serve airports
in many roles, including, the provision of zoning advisory services.
Even with de-regulation of airports throughout the industrialised world,
the need is still there for a centralised approach that elicits standards
amongst the airport partners, particularly in light of the potential for
significant real estate related liabilities resulting from increasing air
traffic.
Canada's airports are facing rapid
change, even in the near future. They include, among others :
-
Rates of increase in air traffic higher
than the population growth rate of their feeder communities,
-
Changes in aircraft technology that
may involve different approach vectors (e.g.: approach angle), speeds,
noise-levels, safety requirements, contingency plans,
-
Rapid changes in land-uses surrounding
the airports themselves,
-
New utilities (e.g.: cell-phones) whose
infrastructure may impact airport operations, physically and even through
radio-interference.
In responding to these changes by advising
municipalities on their zoning by-laws, one set of questions that can be
asked centre on residential land-use. It may be important, for instance,
to know the assessed value of homes in surrounding areas, or the rate of
residential growth, if any, under flight paths.
We can do this quickly, efficiently
and with minimal error if we assemble our data and work with it entirely
within a GIS. That is, although the data may originate from spreadsheets
or “flat-file” databases, we bring them all together under a GIS and use
the map as the basic “workbench” on which we do the job.
We construct the “toolbox” by layering
the following information :
-
Assets (airport sites
with geographic co-ordinates, from “Directory
of Federal Real Property” [DFRP] website, Treasury Board of Canada
Secretariat);
-
Demographic data (dwellings,
by enumeration area [EA], from 1996
Census, Statistics Canada);
-
Aerial Photographs (from
“Ground
Control Database” [GCDB] website, Canada Centre for Remote Sensing);
and
-
Contextual (Canada basemap,
Census Metropolitan Areas, major roads).
The following map illustrates what this
toolbox looks like at the national level. The 4 components listed
above become “layers” (an important concept in GIS). All layers exist
at all scales, but at this scale, the Demographic data layer is too small
to be visible. However, this is where we begin the process of drilling
down to Winnipeg International Airport :

An
exciting enhancement to recent versions of MapInfo is the “HotLink” feature[1].
On the above map, it’s indicated by the blue and teal icons.
In this particular case, the “Assets”
layer provides a hotlink directly to the DFRP webpage of the given airport,
using the DFRP Property Number (PN). A Netscape or IE browser is
automatically launched and the asset's DFRP record appears, while the MapInfo
session continues in the background. Click the Winnipeg International
Airport icon, for instance, and the DFRP Treasury Board record for DFRP
#12738 pops up.
The “Aerial Photographs” layer uses
its hotlink to launch a web browser and bring up the air-photo at that
particular latitude/longitude from the database of the Canada Centre
for Remote Sensing (CCRS). The following table indicates
the icons used to display the “hotlinks” on the MapInfo coverage:
Now, let’s begin
the drill-down. The following image shows a map of west-central metro
Winnipeg (scale not shown, only for context). As the number of “radar-dish”
icons illustrate, the air-photo coverage around the airport is quite good.
(As a side-note, the air-photo of the runways of Winnipeg International
Airport on the image below was not taken from CCRS but, surprisingly from
DFRP! It was saved from DFRP as a .JPG, then opened as a raster image
in MapInfo and registered to 5 exterior points with latitude/longitude
in decimal degrees to 4 digits accuracy, using the “DFRP Info Tool” to
obtain the latitude/longitude) :
Further “drilling-down” allows us
to bring up the demographic layer. This then permits some important
visualisation of data on the basis of geography that would never be apparent
by simply looking at spreadsheets or tables in a report. For example,
the following map illustrates the density of residential dwellings
:

(Note:
The very small areas, or “polygons”, that are red
(“over 49,000”) are invariably high-rise apartment buildings when this
map is reproduced for most Canadian cities. In fact, the only polygons
that are red on this map are the extremely small ones; all turn out to
be high-rises when the MapInfo data are examined in detail. The nature
of this type of mapping (called “thematic”) is such that one must
sometimes deal with a “quantum-leap” when classes are defined – in this
example, the vast majority of polygons are medium to low density, while
a small number are extremely high density. Demographic data often
pose this kind of problem. Decisions made on final thematic maps
usually involve several rounds of “trial-and-error” to arrive at an image
that adequately projects the nature and “feel” of the neighbourhood, without
masking important extremes).
Airport zoning regulations serve
two major clients :
-
the municipality needs protection from
potential losses in property value,
-
the airport needs protection from encroaching
land uses that could compromise its existing operations, and its flexibility
to enact changes in the future.
The following
2 “sub-cases” use thematic mapping to analyse the nature of residential
development around Winnipeg's airport, and some GIS “functionality” to
perform simple geographic-based calculations, to provide some estimate
of impacts of the airport.
Sub-Case
1 : Impact on Residential Property Values
Estimates of property value (from
the Census) can be a “proxy” of assessed value, to determine impacts upon
the tax resource of a city. Municipalities are concerned over potential
losses in assessed value. First and foremost, the municipality must
protect the equity that individual taxpayers have in their homes.
But lowered assessed values also result in a subsequent loss of property
tax revenue; the concern of the municipality then becomes that of collective
loss and not just individual loss. Thus, there are two good reasons
for measuring potential losses in assessed value.
Non-residential land uses can have
significant negative impacts upon surrounding residential land use.
Worse yet, some non-residential uses, such as factories, may start off
with little impact, but introduce a new process that begins to worsen conditions
in surrounding residential areas. An airport is not unlike a factory
in this sense, in that decades ago it may have had little negative impact
upon the surrounding area, but conflicts today with homes and businesses
nearby. An example of this is Thunder Bay International Airport.
In the extreme, a municipality may
be forced to determine additional levies for noxious non-residential land-uses.
If a factory, for instance, were to increase certain negative activities
(e.g.: air pollution, traffic), the resulting drop in surrounding residential
property values, and, thus, assessment, can be converted to an estimate
of lost municipal tax revenue. Depending on enabling legislation,
this amount could be charged against the factory's tax bill as an offsetting
additional levy.
To be fair, in the case of airports,
there can also be considerable positive impacts upon surrounding areas,
that can increase assessed value. If flights are added to hitherto
unavailable destinations, or flight frequency is increased, this can be
a bonus for some industries. It could also be a good reason to re-locate
that much closer to the given airport. In high-technology centres
like Ottawa and Calgary, this is precisely what is now happening: increased
flights from Calgary to Phoenix, or Ottawa to Boston, for instance, are
very appealing to local hi-tech firms, and in the case of both airports,
developers with land near the respective airports are touting their advantage
in being minutes away form the airport. As well, airports all over
Canada have always been attractive to major hotels (an attraction not necessarily
shared by factories!). GIS, again, can be a highly effective tool
in analysing this.
However, for the purposes of Sub-Case
1, we’ll consider the negative effects, and assume that noise and accident
risk are the major contributors to a loss of assessed value in residential
areas near Winnipeg’s airport. Thus, a we wish to focus on those
neighbourhoods directly under flight paths. The following map shows
value of owned dwellings near Winnipeg’s airport (1996 Census) :
The next step, use of geographic
“operators” to estimate actual impact, involves the use of “buffers”[2].
We begin by adding “vectors” to the map to represent invisible
extensions of the runways. Aircraft are either taking-off or landing
along these vectors; they are, essentially, flight paths. Next, we
use MapInfo to create the buffer as an artificial geographic feature surrounding
the vectors, based on information provided by the user.
MapInfo has the capability to establish
complex
buffers. For instance, the buffer radius may be taken from a
data field associated with other geographic features, or even calculated
on the basis of an algebraic expression. The buffer radius could,
for instance, be a function of the average size of aircraft using the runways,
the presumption being that larger craft have a wider noise impact on the
ground. For this case-study, however, a simple 1-km radius is used
to create a single buffer based on the flight paths, as vector extensions
of the 2 runways. The following maps show how this buffer is constructed
:
The blue squares
represent the estimated flight path vectors for Winnipeg International
Airport, manually created[3]:
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The yellow
zone is the 1-km “buffer” that is automatically created by MapInfo :
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A “geographic
query” is then made in MapInfo to select those EAs that “intersect”
(another important concept in GIS) this buffer, and statistics are calculated
for the selected EAs :
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Selected EAs
:
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Statistical
summary :
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The results
show an average value of ~$68,000 for
the homes within a kilometre of the flight paths of Winnipeg’s airport,
and that almost
60,000 people live
in this zone.
Sub-Case
2 : Encroaching Residential Land Use
From the airport's point of view,
there may be less concern with property value, and more concern with growth
of nearby residential land-uses. If the municipality does not sufficiently
play its part in accommodating present and future needs of the airport,
too much residential growth may occur in nearby areas that will stymie
the future options for the airport. For Winnipeg’s airport, an important
question, then, may be to ask where recent residential development has
been occurring in the west end of the metro area, as this may be a harbinger
of where it will occur in the future.
This can be determined from the 1996
Census, based on the number of dwellings constructed in a certain decade.
In the following map, each dot represents 1 dwelling constructed since
1980, based on EAs :

South of Ness Avenue would appear
to have been the best area for residential development[4],
since it is “nested” in the shadow of the two vectors, away from the flight
paths, with less exposure to aircraft. However, that's not where
the housing has been built recently, as the above thematic map indicates.
Of course, there are many factors that influence the location of new housing,
but one would assume that homeowners, making rational choices, would place
a high level of importance on the influence of a nearby airport, and that
homebuilders would respond accordingly.
Yet this doesn't seem to have been
the case – this map shows that some of the highest volume of new residential
construction has been occurring south of Saskatchewan Avenue, directly
under the western vector of the airport! Using the same type of geographic
query as in Sub-Case 1, we find that 1,705 new
homes have been built in the 1-km buffer zone in the past 20
years.
Part
II : Extension of the Winnipeg International Airport Case-Study
to Nation-wide GIS analysis
Obviously, the analysis done in
Part I for Winnipeg’s airport can be extended to all airports. As
stated above, GIS can do this quickly, efficiently and with minimal error.
For example, doing a “quick-and-dirty” exercise with 1996 Census data,
using the above GIS methods, reveals that, within 5 kilometres of all 75
airports listed in DFRP :
-
2.3 million
people lived in …
-
900,000 dwellings,
of which the owned homes had an average value of …
-
$ 165,000
($8,000 less than the Canadian metro average), and that, …
-
15,000 new
dwellings, on average, were being built each year from 1991-1996.
To obtain
these 4 items of data, the buffers were created, CTs selected, and statistics
calculated in less than 15 minutes!
Limitations of time required that
census tract (CT) rather than enumeration area (EA) data be used for this
exercise on the 75 airports across Canada listed in DFRP, and this brings
in a caution on how geographic data-sets are used in GIS analysis.
Basically, there is a trade-off: analysis is quicker with smaller data-sets,
but smaller data-sets result in “coarser” analysis. To arrive
at the above results, we could analyse 30,000 EAs, or 4,500 CTs.
Obviously the latter involve faster processing, but in doing so, we could
seriously mask differences within a census tract that would have been brought
out by doing it at the enumeration area level (the average CT has 5-10
EAs).
The Canada-wide exercise using CTs
resulted in the following typical selections … :
… which illustrate
the problem of “coarseness” (e.g.: Pearson Int’l, west side). While
working at a “finer” level, such as the EA, is always preferable, the limitations
of working at a coarser level can be somewhat overcome, if time or expense
is of the essence. For example, since census tracts are quite large
and sometimes irregularly shaped, it may be inappropriate to use a simple
“intersects” function.
For example, consider this particular
buffer-selection from the actual Winnipeg airport query in Sub-Case 1 :
Using
“intersect”, the buffer for the south-east flight path vector picked up
EA# 4601230, the bulk of which lies outside
the buffer. Thus, the “intersect” option alone may pick up areas
not appropriate to the study.
(NOTE: Those familiar with
Winnipeg will note this is the Winnipeg Zoo area, and the smaller part
of the EA under the buffer is, in fact, where most residents live.
In this case, then, the inclusion of the whole of EA# 4601230 turns out
to be appropriate. This is rare.)
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MapInfo allows
more sophisticated forms of geographic processing to help alleviate possible
inaccuracies. For example, to get more accurate data at the Census
Tract level, we would “slice” portions of the census tracts corresponding
only to the buffer; the buffer becomes a “cookie-cutter”, and the demographic
data values for the cut-out portion are pro-rated down according to the
measured area of the cut-out portion. Thus, there is virtually no
end to the sophistication that a GIS such as MapInfo affords in geographic
analysis.
CONCLUSION
There is an exciting opportunity
here to go well beyond mapping in assisting airport zoning regulations
initiatives. Using tools such as buffers, geographic operators and
processing, and map algebra, we can provide the client(s) with analysis
more closely reflecting the reality on the ground, of the interaction between
airports and their municipal partners. Furthermore, with high-end,
user-friendly, low-cost applications, such as ProViewer, we can put, in
the hands of the same clients, useful tools to empower themselves with
GIS analysis … without them having to be experts.
APPENDIX
– Example of Hotlinking
In the following 2 images illustrate
the “hotlink” feature of MapInfo, referred to above. An area in south-east
Orleans (Ontario, Canada) was chosen to give a “local” reference.
The yellow dot on the air-photo corresponds to the “radar-dish” icon on
the MapInfo map. Note the curve of Trim Road on the map and
on the air-photo, as a reference. The air-photo is dated 1979, so
the urban development in the “10th Line” area is not
apparent. More up-to-date aerial or satellite photo coverage could
be made available for this project, however, through collaboration with
the Canada Centre for Remote Sensing (http://www.ccrs.nrcan.gc.ca/).
Below is the
map (east/west extent = 5 km) from MapInfo, using the same layers as the
Winnipeg International Airport maps in Part I, that sources the air-photo
image to the right. Note the “radar-dish” icons in green, used to
“hotlink” to the CCRS website to bring up the air-photo; the icon on Trim
Road corresponds to the yellow marker on the air-photo image :

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An overview
of the present air-photo coverage of CCRS (~37,400 points) is illustrated
in the following map of Canada :
